Here’s Why Plouffe Calls It “Fraud”

The tweet came the day after the NY Primary. It was a strong victory for Hillary Clinton and it tolled the end for Bernie Sanders and his campaign.

That’s when David Plouffe, the guy who led Barack Obama to the Presidency in 2008, tweeted this:

Plouffe got a lot of blow back from Sanders’ supporters. Even today, ten days and another five primaries later, his camp wonders why Plouffe used the term.

HERE’S WHY IT’S FRAUD

This is the delegate count as of 28 April, as reported in the NY Times.

delegate count

I’ve already done a hypothetical on remaining primaries and the math, showing that Bernie Sanders simply has no realistic route toward clinching the nomination. But Nate Silver is an unbiased expert on the politics of math, and he confirms my final outcome.

Here’s a snapshot of how Nate Silver calculates the possibility of a Sanders nomination, from “How the Rest of the Delegate Race Could Unfold.

To have a shot at overtaking Mrs. Clinton in pledged delegates, Bernie Sanders would need a series of landslide victories in the few remaining contests, increasing his vote share to about 70 percent, on average.

There is strong language there. Sanders would need “a series of landslide victories.” That  scenario is possible (all things are possible). Yet garnering 70 percent of the votes in all remaining primaries is about as likely as the moon turning purple.

Contrast Silver’s calculus with the poll results for the June 7 California Primary. Hillary Clinton leads with a margin that ranges from 2 to 14 points. California is the big kahuna with 475 delegates up for grabs.

CA polls

Polls from the Indiana primary just around the corner show a similar pattern. Clinton leads in all, though the margin is much tighter.

IN polls

SOURCE: Real Clear Politics

As I pointed out in my other post, the only state in which Sanders has a projected win is West Virginia, and that’s based on a single poll from February.

Even the Sanders campaign sees the reality. After the NY Primary results were in, campaign manager Jeff Weaver made a conference call and announced the layoffs of “200 to 300” campaign workers, as reported by Joy Reid. The revelation came on the Rachel Maddow Show, and even Maddow admitted it was an “ominous” signal.

Nonetheless, Sanders is still out on the campaign trail, as recently as today in Indianapolis. He is still rallying his faithful millennials, still insisting he has a shot at the nomination and still accepting donations.

Yesterday, at an appearance before the National Press Club, Sanders mimicked Donald Trump by bewailing a “corrupt campaign finance system” that he says is “undermining American democracy.”

In this 31-minute speech, he claimed it was “virtually impossible for Secretary Clinton to reach the majority of convention delegates” by the end of the primaries. Sanders chose to base this assertion on pledged delegates while dissing the 520 super-delegates who have already shown a preference for Clinton. Sanders then made a call for a contested Democratic convention, saying “I think I’m entitled to those super-delegates.”

The candidate’s spouse, Jane Sanders, is also hitting up as many talk shows as possible, including The Young Turks, Rachel Maddow, RT America, FOX News, Morning Joe, and The Conversation echoing her husband’s talking points.

IT IS FRAUD

At this point, Bernie Sanders is losing by over 3 million votes. He needs 1.026 delegates to win the nomination, contrasted with the 218 needed by Clinton. The polls show he is consistently lagging behind Clinton in every state but one. Sanders has acknowledged these realities. Now, his “path to victory” hinges on flipping super-delegates at the convention.

Bernie Sanders has two things going for him: a huge campaign coffer (constantly plagued by FEC violations), and the remote possibility that 520 Democrats will have a change of heart at the convention.

As he so often declares, money does not buy votes. And after a year of savaging the Democratic Party, its party leaders, the party faithful and its candidate, the idea of him persuading super-delegates is absurd and hypocritical.

The campaign of Bernie Sanders is over. His continued collection of campaign donations is outright fraud, and yet one more reason why he should never be in close proximity to power. He is profoundly attached to his new found status – a common symptom of one who is new to power – and is loathe to release it. This dangerous sign has all the markings of an megalomaniac. It shows none of the characteristics of a leader.

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