It Happened: Third-Party Candidates Split The Vote

In the most crucial swing states of this general election, third-party candidates and their voters effectively thwarted the will of the majority of Americans. Their cumulative votes denied Hillary Clinton the victory and landed an inexperienced and precariously unprepared real estate guy in the Oval Office.

That’s according to data compiled by David Wasserman with the Cook Political Report in its National Popular Vote Tracker. The numbers from that report show that in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, had votes cast for third-party candidates been diverted to Clinton, she would have won the states, their electoral votes, and now be assembling her White House Cabinet.

Here’s the breakdown of votes. Continue reading

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Election Day: Who Didn’t Vote

apathyI voted early. When Election Day came, I had the freedom to mount a one-to-one GOTV (Get Out the Vote) effort.

Early on the morning of 8 November, I visited my local gas station, a franchise operated by an immigrant family from Bhutan. They’d arrived seven years ago as political asylees, gotten their green card as Permanent Residents, and then after the five-year waiting period, applied for and earned their citizenship. I knew them as well as one can from frequent trips and friendly exchanges.

I bought gas and chatted with one of the brothers at check-out. Continue reading

The Aftermath: Searching for Clues

Six days after the results of 8 November.

Every day, I have cried. This grief descends like the death of a love one. I don’t believe I’ll ever move past denial. Instead, I search for clues. Hidden codes. Words of reassurance.

I read and re-read the transcript of Hillary’s farewell to staff. I slept three hours last night. I awoke, groggy and waylaid, found myself here reading it yet again. This passage popped out:

This loss hurts. But please, please never stop believing that fighting for what’s right is worth it. It’s always worth it. And we need you keep up these fights now and for the rest of your lives.

“We need you,” not “I need you.”

She is speaking for the leaders of our democracy. She speaks for Barack Obama, our embattled, abused, ever-dignified President. I look again at his eyes – the moment he touched hands with the racist demagogue, man-that-I-hate-with-fury, the idiot tool, Putin’s puppet, slayer of truth, pompous ass, monster of greed, sociopath  – and I see a well of despair.

baracks-eye

If ever I needed a clue, I look in his eyes: they tell it all. Emptiness. Loss. Defeat. They are the eyes of a man who accepts the burden of this country’s future. Those pained eyes speak of more than a loss of legacy. They say: “I fought for you, America. I did my best.” And the rest unsaid. One needs only a grasp of recent history to weigh his pain. One needs only to witness the present to see what is coming.

And Hillary’s words are also meant for me, for you, for every one of us who cheered her on, donated a few bucks, tweeted our loyalty, identified with her, called her our champion, walked door-to-door, phoned and anticipated victory. We are in the millions. And the millions more who said “No,” are included.

Hillary calls us to battle. She knows we are in for the fight of our life.

We must heed that call for the rest of our lives. This unlimited time cropped-boston-globe.pngframe of struggle and its connection with mortality is frightening. Because she is not talking about fighting back during Midterm elections. She is not focusing our gaze on the next presidential election. No, she is alerting us to a lifelong fight.

Perhaps it is semantics. Maybe I am hyper vigilant. But Hillary Clinton chooses her words with deliberateness. And the quiet acceptance of Hillary and Barack adds to my dismay.

I have not spoken of the forces arrayed against her but they form this narrative. Trump is just an old man with personality problems. It is the dark force propelling him, and the hate he unleashed that condemns us to a hellish America – one that requires we fight for the remainder of our lives.

A month ago, I said to a friend: “Hillary is our savior.”

Often, I lean toward what some people call catastrophic thinking. But I do believe this was her role – and now – our savior has left the stage, beaten, insulted, victim of vendetta after vendetta – and we are left drifting.

Who will lead us now?

We will lead ourselves. We are each Hillary Clinton – brave, brilliant and unbowed.

We are in for the fight of our lives.

Let us go forward.

Philadelphia – City of Love

hrc-philly

HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON addressing tens of thousands in Philadelphia on the eve of Election Day.

 

I didn’t complete this post, started on the eve of Election Day. Its original title was “Philly – A Preview. Our President, Soon.” And then the unbelievable happened.

This is why we need history. We need an archive of what our eyes witnessed and our hearts felt. Because it all can be removed, quickly or during the course of a long, painful evening.

Keep fresh in your consciousness how it was – and how it will be. Do not forget. Do not let it go. Do not call it a dream. It was real. It is still a reality. Continue reading

Lying Numbers or Flawed Polls

Thirty-one polls in Florida.

Twenty-one polls in Michigan.

Twenty-seven polls in North Carolina.

Six polls in Ohio.

These all favored Hillary Clinton. The time frame was over a three-month period, from September up until the night before the election on 7 November.

What happened?

FLORIDA (Early Voting)

  • Clinton 46% – Trump 46% -7 November- Ten polls
  • Clinton 47% – Trump 44% -23 October- Five polls
  • Clinton 47% – Trump 44% -10 October- Six polls
  • Clinton 46% – Trump 44% -30 September- Five polls
  • Clinton 45% – Trump 43% -26 September- Five polls

MICHIGAN (No Early Voting)

  • Clinton 48% – Trump 42% -6 November- Five polls
  • Clinton 48% – Trump 38% -24 October- Five polls
  • Clinton 47% – Trump 40% -6 October- Three polls
  • Clinton 46% – Trump 41% -30 September- Four polls
  • Clinton 45% – Trump 41% -15 September- Four polls

NORTH CAROLINA (Early Voting)

  • Clinton 46% – Trump 46% – 7 November – Ten polls
  • Clinton 48% – Trump 45% -24 October- Six polls
  • Clinton 46% – Trump 43% -10 October- Five polls
  • Clinton 44% – Trump 43% -29 September- Six polls

Ohio (Early Voting)

  • Trump 46% – Clinton 43% -7 November- Seven polls
  • Trump 47% – Clinton 46% -20 October- Six polls
  • Clinton 46% – Trump 45% -9 October- Six polls
  • Trump 44% – Clinton 42% – 26 September- Five polls

Pennsylvania (No Early Voting)

  • Clinton 48% – Trump 44% -7 November- Ten Polls
  • Clinton 48% – Trump 42% -19 October- Five polls
  • Clinton 49% – Trump 40% – 9 October- Five polls
  • Clinton 47% – Trump 43% -29 September- Five polls